File Name: gold inflation hedge and long term strategic asset .zip
This paper tests the inflation hedging ability of four categories of important financial assets in China: Commodity futures, real estate, gold and industry stock and select the assets that have significant inflation hedging effect. Then the authors construct the mean-variance model under the inflation factor, using the selected assets to construct the inflation hedging portfolio, solving the model and obtain the optimal investment strategy with inflation protection function. The result shows that the portfolio constructed by the model have more stable real returns and its inflation hedging ability can be even better if the short selling restriction of stocks is eliminated. For investors in financial markets, one of the most basic risks is the erosion of real return of the portfolio by inflation. For a long time, Chinese economic growth excessively rely on the government investment, bank credit and the currency issuance which is lack of close monitoring mechanism, the high-speed economic growth is always accompanied by the risk of inflation.
The new virus, nCov, is hard to spot and therefore hard to stop. The following thoughts estimate that the coronavirus outbreak dissipates by spring. We need to assess the development daily though. Should the virus lead to a deep, long-term economic fallout the tactical asset allocation would need to be changed quickly and drastically. What the virus does show tragically, is the need for a balanced approach with tail hedges in a world where bonds no longer offer the desired diversification from equities.
SFU Search. By adding, alternatively, the four potential inflation-hedges, researchers showed Gold as the most appropriate Long-Term Strategic Asset. In our research, we constructed basic investment portfolio for US and Canadian investors. The optimization results are based on the post-crisis period from to The final results for the US suggest that Gold should be considered as a strong long-term strategic asset. Canadian REITs get allocation under base case assumptions but sensitivity analysis indicates that the results are not robust.
This paper aims to study the role of gold as a hedge against inflation based on local monthly gold prices in China, India, Japan, France, the United Kingdom and the United States of America in periods ranging from to We extend the literature by using a novel approach with the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lags NARDL model Shin et al. The main advantage of this model relies on its ability to simultaneously capture the short- and long-run asymmetries through positive and negative partial sum decompositions of changes in the independent variable s. Moreover, we rely on local gold prices instead of those from London converted into local currencies like in most of previous studies. The results show that gold is not a hedge against inflation in the long run in all cases.
We show that the statistical properties of gold are negatively correlated with equities and that including gold in a portfolio will provide diversification benefits. As there is no consensus on the proportion of gold that should be included in a strategic portfolio allocation we propose a visual tool that associates a performance metric with a range of possible asset weighting schemes—a Sharpe ratio response surface. This very surface shows that a target performance metric can be achieved with a large number of different allocations. We further argue that the rebalancing approach based on the surface closest to the benchmark surface under the Hausdorrf distance metric should be selected. Using a data sample between and , we find that annual rebalancing with a week lookback period achieves the minimum distance from the benchmark surface.
We examine the case for gold as a long-term or strategic investment for U.S. institutional investors Gold is often thought to be an inflation hedge for U.S. investors. Council, nebraskansforjustice.orga_passion_for_nebraskansforjustice.org
P-ISSN By using DCC-GARCH which can dynamically accommodate the correlation between gold and the stock, this study found gold could become a safe haven asset towards stock in Indonesia. In addition, this study found that gold can effectively become a hedge asset for the stocks in Indonesia and the hedged portfolio resulted in a higher risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio of investment. Ahmad, Z.
Gold has a long association with finance and investing—from its use as a form of early currency to gold standard-based currencies from the late s.
All of which tend to put in jeopardy both conventional inflation protected strategies and nominal unhedged ones: from reduced issues of linkers to negative long-term real rates, they call into question the viability of current strategies. This paper investigates those game changing events and their asset liability management consequences for retail and institutional investors. Three alternative ways to achieve real value protection are proposed. Martellini, et Volker.
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